Friday, November 23, 2012

Summary Week Ended Friday 23rd November 2012




4 stock trades:

2 BARC + 94.40 BPS
1 BLT + 7.75 BPS
1 STAN + 2.78 BPS

Stocks net + 104.93

No index trades.

Thoughts
Traded four days this week. A light volume week since Thursday was Thanksgiving in the US.

Stay disciplined.

Stay focussed.

Friday, November 16, 2012

Summary Week Ended Friday 16th November 2012



10 stock trades:

4 BLT + 44.61 BPS
1 STAN + 6.31 BPS
5 XTA + 58.86 BPS

Stocks net + 109.78 BPS

Well short of my 500 BPS weekly target, but another positive week nevertheless.
No index trades. I am concentrating on stock trades.

Thoughts
Traded five days this week (four and a half as I was out Friday afternoon).



A weak market, as the worries about the ‘Fiscal Cliff’ continue.
We are getting near to the traditional Santa rally though.

Wonder how far AAPL can go:

 

Stay disciplined.

Stay focussed.

Thursday, November 15, 2012

STAN & BLT 15th Nov 2012






Support levels turning into resistance ....?

Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Tuesday, November 13, 2012

Analysis of Trading Results



Broken down by hour of entry.

Sunday, November 11, 2012

Summary Week Ended Friday 9th November 2012



20 stock trades:

5 BLT + 44.88 BPS
1 BP + 23.53 BPS
2 STAN + 27.25 BPS
1 XTA + 25.47 BPS

Stocks net + 121.14

10 index trades:
12 Dax – 124.90 BPS
6 FTSE – 49.15 BPS

Indices net – 174.05 BPS

Thoughts
Traded five days this week.

US election result was followed by a big sell off on Thursday.
A decent week on stocks, but a poor one on the indices.

I have therefore dicided to concentrate 100% on stocks, since that is what I do best, and actually I prefer.

Stay disciplined.

Stay focussed.

Friday, November 09, 2012

Sunday, November 04, 2012

THE DAY THE MARKETS BROKE



THE DAY THE MARKETS BROKE

Tuesday morning at the trading desk – it is twelve minutes to eight, and twelve minutes to the open.

“This is not looking good mate, not looking good at all …”

That's Mike, one of my team on the UK equities desk.

I have my eyes fixed on the Dax futures quotes, since the Dax opens for trade at seven am London time, and the market is selling off, hard.

71 04… 7100.. 7096..7092… the numbers are all red, and they keep on getting lower, on heavy volume.

The selling seems to be getting more intense as we approach the London market open.
I turn to look at Mike, who has his ‘phone to his ear, and is staring at one of his screens.

“OK, here’s the plan – we wait for an early bounce before we sell the position.”

Mike nods, and speaks quietly into the ‘phone.
I turn to Jim, sitting at his desk to my right.

“Jim, you hear that ? We wait before closing our position.”

“Whatever you say, boss.”

We have a bit of a problem. We are holding a rather large long position on a basket of bank stocks. And late last night, the news from the US markets wasn’t good – both Moodys and S&P had downgraded the financial sector, and of course, financial stocks in the US have sold off sharply. 

This all happened after the London market closed at four thirty, so it looks like the slide will start as soon as the market opens at eight, in a little over ten minutes from now.

I pull up the position spreadsheet on one of my monitors. What a day to be long banks ! But then everything had looked OK at four thirty yesterday, in fact the position was already starting to show a small profit. Oh well, my job is to manage this as best as I can, and preserve capital.
Don’t try to be a hero !

“Two minutes chaps.”

It’s Jim.

All three of us sit at our desks now, watching the screens and waiting for the prices to start moving.

First to speak is Mike.

“Bloody hell, HSBC is getting clobbered…”

I glance at the quote, it says 572.50, having closed last night at 622. All the banks are already between six and ten percent down. On the position we are holding, that’s quite a chunk of cash.

“Yeah Mike, watching for some buying here, and on BARC too.”

I am looking at the level II screen, which shows the electronic order book on BARC. Now it was two minutes past eight, and there are a few buyers appearing on the stock. 

I click on the ask price and am immediately filled at 1.72. Now we have an even bigger position on BARC. My plan is to sell the lot on the first bounce. I scribble the entry price, time and size on my desk blotter in front of me..

“Jim, if you see any buying on HSBC, then you know what to do.”

“Sure Chief.”

“OK chaps, lets focus.”

I contine to watch the BARC orders hit the book, it is now trading just above the lows, at 1.74, and I think it looks ready to break above 1.75. I buy some at 1.76, get filled instantly and write the numbers down on the blotter.

Thirty seconds later and BARC is trading at 1.825, I close out the entire position.

“BARC all gone chaps.”

There is no time to calculate the total damage, we still have a lot of stock on the book and I think prices will break the lows, given how far the US futures have fallen overnight.